created 2003 by Tim Selwyn
copyright 2004+ Tumeke Magazine Ltd, Director/shareholder: T Selwyn
Address for correspondence: PO Box 1315, Auckland 1140, NZ
Telephone contact: +64 021 02631855
Aotearoa | International
this blog also mirrored/office-friendly: www.tumeke.org/blog
this blog created April 2005: blog editor T Selwyn (acting blog editor 2006-7: M Bradbury)
bloggers: T Selwyn (2004+) M Bradbury (2006-2013) B Thomas (2008) P Fletcher (2008-2013)
Critique the polity
Reform and advancement
Popular - not populist - journal of record.
1. Quality public discourse
2. Bloggers own their own comments - they cannot speak on behalf of anyone but themselves (also means no paid speech)
3. If posts are not news/opinion/humour they must be a form of worthwhile public information (viz: no personal issues not related to wider public issues, and no 'entertainment')
4. Honest opinion - with full disclosure when in conflict
5. Protect sources - if information correct/good faith
6. Spell-check headlines
Because writing war crimes indictments is more important than dinner.
TUMEKE!: September 2014
Friday, September 19, 2014
NZ General Election 2014
Midnight very soon and the election blackout begins. Please observe. Good luck to our peeps. Get out and vote!
Listening Greenwald on RNZ now saying the NSA(US) used GSCB(NZ) supplied bulk data. Says Snowden was processing metadata - via xkeyscore - sent from NZ to the US. Was this data of NZers trawled by GCSB? Ryan: "On NZ citizens?" Greenwald: "correct." That is going to be game MFing over for JK - he staked his reputation on it and said he would resign or something didn't he? NZers have never been spied on in mass surveillance supposedly. It might be ex-Key score all right.
The extraordinary last 48 hours - with the PM declassifying and releasing secret spy documents to pre-empt a "moment of truth" to expose him and his National government's collusion with the US and in Minister's roles in using the immigration department to capture Kim Dotcom for Hollywood producers - be cray. It all be cray cray. The moment is at 7pm tonight at the Auckland Town Hall, with Greenwald in attendance and perhaps Assange live from the Ecuadorian Embassy in London. Unprecedented.
Key was saying yesterday that yes there was a plan to have mass surveillance, but because it would cost about $8b, he personally put a stop to what the GCSB was proposing. Key was also saying much the same thing many months ago too from my recollection, but most missed that the figure proved it had been mapped out and that it had been proposed.
But I also heard him say that 'cabinet said no'. It was cabinet that put a stop to it - not him exactly. Was Key even at that cabinet meeting that said no? Did he mean a cabinet committee, or the whole cabinet? At what stage was this plan advanced? To cabinet level - from what Key has said. So HE didn't stop it. This guy is all over the place and cannot give a straight answer on any of these spy cases.
Waiariki: Marae digi poll has Flavell losing support, Sykes up.
The Marae digi poll on the Waiariki electorate came out yesterday - for what it's worth. They are notoriously unreliable. The landline polls are increasingly picking up older householders and skewing to the middle class establishment that still maintain a landline - missing out working class and youth populations. It isn't worth that much - the large differences in these polls and the election results proves that. So I'm not that surprised to find the Waiariki polling this time round out of whack:
Waiariki Electorate Vote 2014
This looks definitive, decisive... until you consider the 2011 poll:
Waiariki Electorate Vote 2011
Labour 8.8% [18.8%?]
In the election of 2011 the Maori Party's Te Ururoa Flavell only had an 1800 vote majority over Mana's Annette Sykes, with the Labour candidate a distant third.
If an 1800 vote majority equates to 59%/19% then what does 50%/21% work out to? is it even a majority any more to him?
Comparing the 2011 poll with this one it shows a fall - a big fall - in Flavell's support and a rise in Sykes' support. It shows that Mana is in a better position now than it was in 2011. It shows that Mana may have picked up some of Te Ururoa's collapsing vote. The fourth candidate may only pick up a few votes in the West of the electorate, maybe 2-3% max so should not have a major impact.
All up this is quite a favourable poll result for Annette Sykes. It should be a big worry for Flavell, but so long as people like Slater and Farrar and the rest of the media keep misreading it then all the better for an upset based on that underestimation. And if the door-knocking in my area is anything to go by and the extent of the negative reactions from Pakeha men to the National Party over the Dirty Politics saga is reflected across the country on polling day then there could be a major upset possible.
#2 (+3) Gotcha! : www.gotcha.co.nz
11/2005+ "Whale Oil Beef Hooked"
Whaleoil/Cameron Slater Right - National : Auckland
GMan Right - ? : NZ
Fried Sushi Right - ? : NZ
Lisa Lewis ? - ? : NZ
Fiscally Conservative Kiwi Right - ? : NZ
The Baptist Right - ? : NZ
#3 (-1) The Standard : www.thestandard.org.nz 08/2007+ "The New Zealand labour movement newspaper digitally reborn"
all_your_base : Left - Labour : NZ
Iprent : Left - Labour : NZ
John A : Left - Labour : NZ
Eddie : Left - Labour : NZ
Steve Pierson : Left - Labour/Green : Wellington
Tane : Left - Labour/Green : NZ
IrishBill : Left - Labour/Green : NZ
Dancer : Left - ? : NZ
Jasper : Left - ? : NZ
Natwatch : Left - ? : NZ
Ralph Malcolm : Left - ? : NZ
Sam Cash : Left - ? : NZ
Tillerman : Left - ? : NZ
ZK Muggletinspofin : Left - ? : NZ
whenua : Left - ? : NZ
#5 (-1) Not PC : www.pc.blogspot.com 04/2005+ "Promoting capitalist acts between consenting adults"
Peter Cresswell : Right - Libertarian : Auckland
Susan Ryder : Right - Libertarian : Franklin
Dr Richard McGrath : Right - Libertarian : Wairarapa
Bernard Darnton : Right - Libertarian : Christchurch
#8 (-) No Minister : www.nominister.blogspot.com 06/2007+ "Sir Humphrey's... [acid reflux]"
Gooner : Right - Act : Auckland
Adolf Fiinkensein : Right - National : Auckland
Psycho Milt : Left - ? : Palmerston North
Lou Taylor : Right - ? : Auckland
Grant : Right - ? : Auckland
Barnsley Bill : Right - ? : Northland
The Veteran : Right - ? : NZ
Sagenz : Right - ? : NZ
#9 (-) Public Address : www.publicaddress.net
09/2002+ "Community of New Zealand-centric weblogs"
Hard News Russell Brown : Left - ? : Auckland
Cracker Damian Christie : Other - ? : Wellington
Busytown Jolisa Gracewood ? - ? : Connecticut, USA
Radiation Fiona Rae ? - ? : Auckland
Random Play Graham Reid ? - ? : Auckland
Fielf Theory Hadyn Green ? - ? : ?
Southerly David Haywood ? - ? : Christchurch
Legal Beagle Graeme Edgeler : Right - ? : NZ
Up Front Emma Hart : ? - ? : NZ
#10 (+1) Frogblog : www.blog.greens.org.nz 03/2005+ "Political blog Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand"
Green MPs (various) : Left - Green : Wellington/NZ
frog : Left - Green : Wellington
#11 (-1) No Right Turn : www.norightturn.blogspot.com
02/2003+ "Irredeemably Liberal"
Idiot/Savant : Left - ? : Palmerston North
#12 (-) Tumeke! : www.tumeke.blogspot.com 04/2005+ "Aotearoa international - current affairs and culture"
Tim Selwyn : Other - ? : Auckland
Martyn "Bomber" Bradbury : Left - ? : Auckland
Phoebe Fletcher : Left - ? : Auckland
#18 (+2) Kiwipolitico : www.kiwipolitico.com 01/2009+ "Environmentalist, centre-left/left-of-centre, public policy and the political process."
Jafapete : Left - ? : Auckland
Anita : Left - ? : Wellington
Pablo : Left - ? : Auckland
Roger Nome : Left - ? : NZ
#19 (-2) The Hand Mirror: www.thehandmirror.blogspot.com 03/2008+ "Feminism"
Lil'E : Left - ? : NZ
Maia : Left - ? : NZ
The ex-expat : Left - Labour : NZ
Undomestic Goddess : ? - ? : NZ
The Bewildering Case of Ms Enid Tak-Entity : Left - ? : NZ
Julie Fairey : Left - ? : NZ
Deborah : Left - ? : NZ
Anjum Rahman/stargazer : Left - Labour : NZ
Anna : Left - ? : NZ
Pres. Barak Obama's speech at Mandela's funeral, Soweto. [DailyTelegraph]
Nelson Mandela's first speech out of prison. [TDC]
News bulletin [AlJazeera]
John Key PM video journal, on Poverty.[NZNats]
MANA Party series
Te Karere: Ratana celebrations 2012 [TVNZ]
Hone: Sharing the Mana [ManaMovement]
Tipene performs [Tipene06]
Hone Harawira last speech in session [inthehouse]
MANA Movement AGM: 06/08/2011 PART1 [solidarityjoeboy]
MANA Movement AGM 06/08/2011 PART2 [solidarityjoeboy]
MANA Party launch: First Hui 30-04-2011 - Powhiri [SolidarityJoe]
MANA Party launch: First Hui 30-04-2011 - Haka [SolidarityJoe]
MANA Party launch: First Hui 30-04-2011 - Sue Bradford [SolidarityJoe]
FORESHORE & SEABED/Takutai Moana Bill
Hikoi reaches parliament (NZHerald)
Hone Harawira in parliament on Takutai Moana Bill (intheHouse)
Te Karere: Hikoi begins (TVNZ)
Marae Investigates 13/03/2011: Te Ururoa Flavell i/v with Jodi Ihaka on Takutai Moana bill. (TVNZ)
Te Karere: Te Ururoa Flavell MP on Takutai Moana bill. (TVNZ)
Tariana Turia on Taku Taimoana - foreshore and seabed bill. (MaoriParty)