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Saturday, November 19, 2011

iPredict Election Show with Matt McCarten and Neil Miller, STRATOS Freeview 21 & Sky 89

A preview interview for iPredict Election 2011 with Chris Philpott, TV reviewer at Stuff.co.nz

Review of iPredict Election 2011 by Bryce Edwards

Last nights show with Matt McCarten and Neil Miller

Prediction 1: The iPredict market suggests the Epsom Tea Party Tapes have dented the National Party with the odds of John Key being Prime Minister plummeting for the first time from a 94% probability to an 85%, the largest slump since the election started, has the strategy of attacking the media back fired?

Prediction 2: In massive trading today, NZ First soars over 6% party vote and settles over 5%' can Winston really re-enter Parliament and what are the ramifications?

Prediction 3: At a 55% probability, Damien O'Connor is tipped to win back West-Coast Tasman, but how much trouble are Labour in the provinces?

Thursdays show with David Shearer and Matthew Hooton

Prediction 1: The iPredict market shows the last 24 hours has forced the National Party vote down to 45%. The Epsom Tea Party Tapes have damaged John Key, National are in crises, how do they pull out of this dive 9 days out from the election?

Prediction 2: A Fair-fax media poll out today suggests the Epsom Tea Party tapes have failed to throw the lifeline ACT need to return to Parliament with John Banks a distant second behind Paul Goldsmith. At a 45% probability of happening, is the National Party candidate winning Epsom this weeks best buy?

Prediction 3: The Minor Party Leaders debate screened on TVNZ last night and the market predict Greens at 11.5%, NZ First at 4.7%, ACT at 2.5%, Mana at 1.9%, Maori Party at 1.3% and United Future at 1%, have the market read this crucial area well?
Sent from my iPad

Full guest list:
iPredict Election 2011 will include political commentary drawn from a panel including: iPredict Chief Executive Matt Burgess; interest.co.nz founder Bernard Hickey; electionresults.co.nz editor Ian Llewellyn; National Business Review political columnist Matthew Hooton and business reporter Matt Nippert; former Labour Party strategist John Pagani; political commentator Chris Trotter; former National Party research boss Neil Miller; Otago University political scientist Bryce Edwards; Editor of Scoop.co.nz Selwyn Manning; From the University of Auckland Film, Television and Media Studies Department, Phoebe Fletcher; National’s up-and-coming MPs Simon Bridges and Nikki Kaye; Labour’s finance spokesman David Cunliffe and Labour's new blood, Stuart Nash and Jacinda Ardern; Mana leader Hone Harawira; Green Party co-leaders Russel Norman, Metiria Turei and NZs youngest MP Gareth Hughes; UnitedFuture leader Peter Dunne; Conservative Party leader Colin Craig; and New Zealand First leader Winston Peters.

Other commentators and politicians are also in the process of being invited.

The programme will be hosted by Citizen A host Martyn Bradbury.

iPredict Election 2011 7pm weeknights, Stratos TV Freeview 21 & Sky 89



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