Latest brainfart opinion polls -YAWN
'Strugglers' still backing National
One in five New Zealanders say they are struggling financially, but even among the worst off Labour is failing to dominate despite a big push on the cost of living.
With a media as compliant and uncritical of Key as ours, it's no surprise that no one blames this Governments extraordinary economic mis-management for the pain they feel and landline phone polls tell you what those who can afford to have a landline think, so middle class folk are the ones not blaming National - big surprise.
I've already clashed with the dead eyed Cameron Slater over listed landlines and the Government's main propogandist on line, David Farrar, who as a pollster and peddler of these cheap brainfart polls needs to defend their integrity at all times, but the warped results the methodology of these polls is providing is manipulating public opinion, not reflecting it.
Watching the pashfest that passes as questioning of the National Party by the msm, it is no surprise that middle class voters don't blame National for their economic mismanagment, based on the adoration heaped upon him, I'm surprised there isn't a percentage of the population who also believe John Key can heal sick children.
It was this Government's decision to subsidize tax cuts for the rich by raising GST which led to a decrease in revenue as consumers shut their wallets which led to a $1 billion hole in Government tax take. When asked where we would make that hole up last year, Bill English indicated social welfare.
The budget only looks good if we believe the 4% growth forecast from Treasury so let's compare their predictions from 2008. They claimed we would get 1.5% growth, 2.3% growth and then 3.2% growth. We actually got -1.1% growth, -.4% growth and -.1% growth. Treasury have been out by as much as 3.1% of GDP as little as last year and we are supposed to believe 4% growth next year based on a Rugby World Cup which is still only half sold and the ChristChurch rebuild which still keeps suffering from aftershocks.
Who the bloody hell would be so vacant as to believe this? Enter stage Right, Optimist Prime, John Key.He believes Treasury's rapture predictions and came out defending these fairytale growth assumptions by pointing to a wide range of forecasters who all agree with him like the ANZ, BNZ, Deutschebank, Goldman Sachs and Westpac. Which would be fine, excpet that they have all seemed to have gotten wrong as well. Westpac chief economist Brendan O'Donovan at the beginning of this year claimed, and I quote, "Personally I think New Zealand could have a ripsnorter of a year and I think we could be on the cusp of a golden decade in terms of economic prosperity".
That's the guy John Key wants to hold up to prove Treasury's bullshit predictions aren't bullshit? O'Donovan is so insanely positive he makes John Key look like a manic depressive on suicide watch.
There seems to be a mentality amongst some that if we just put on a smile and a cheery disposition, this recession will be over and the lambs will be lying down with the lions and world peace will break out. If Westpac's chief economist had been on the Titanic as it was sinking he'd be explaining how great the ocean views are and that now was the best time to buy another ticket.
The economy is in free fall because the same tired slash public services more tax cuts bullshit can't deal with the parameters of the 2008 collapse. The Reserve Bank Governor Alan Bollard points out in his book 'crises' that the Americans had written up a quadrillion dollars in credit default swaps, that's a thousand trillion dollars. Brothers and sisters, we aren't even half way through this recession yet.
The mainstream media's 60% of NZ loves John Key version of events which are being repeated over and over again seem out of touch with the reality of the political landscape. Dunne is in trouble, Winston may well get over 5% now, Mana will split the Maori Party vote and will win two electorates and the rest may all go back to Labour. The idea that these cheap brainfart polls which claimed Banks and Brown were neck and neck and that Hone was only ahead by 1% when he won by over 9% mean these claims that National will win an outright majority are a joke.
Allowing David Farrar, the Government's pollster and propagandist to continue to peddle his massaged message points he's self-tested on the National Party Research Unit as blogs minus any balance makes the NZ Herald as critical as Libyan State Media.
At least Tracy Watkins is looking outside the corporate media box.