Mana 2.9% in New Horizon Poll
Meanwhile, away from the cheap brainfart telephone opinion polls being promoted by David Farrar, (the man who polls on a Friday night so his polling is available for Caucus on Tuesday), the Horizon Poll (with it's accepted faults of being online) continues to tell a different story....
National has 35.5% of voters with a preference who will vote
Labour has 26.6% of committed, intending voters
It is picking up 34.4% of those who now intending to vote after choosing not to vote at the last election. National is picking up 19.2% of the last election’s non-voters.
The Green Party has 9.3% intending voter support, New Zealand First 7.3%, Act 5.1%, Mana 2.9%, Maori Party 1.2%, United Future 0.9%, Jim Anderton’s Progressives 0.8%, other parties 1.2%.
The number of undecided with no current preference is 7.3%.
2.9% would equate to 4 MP's for Mana, Mana is aiming at 3.5%.
posted by Bomber @ 3:52 pm
2 comments
2 Comments:
Isn't the horizon poll significantly different to all other polls following a more scientifically statistically correct approach (i.e. avoiding the huge skewing caused by having a poll conducted online)?
In saying the above I am no polling or stats expert. Statistics was hardly my favourite subject at school or uni. But I have huge doubts that all the small parties are doing that well, especially NZ first, and Act.
Looking like a strong performance from the Greens this year, not unexpected due to Labours appalling term in opposition, and thanks to the Mana party they look moderate.
Dream on, dream on.
Half their respondents are people each of whom have as many as a dozen false e-mail addresses and are gaming the so called poll.
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