Hone and a New Left Party trigger points
Harawira accuses 'dickheads' of trying to get rid of him
Hone Harawira doesn't seem to be in a mood to reconcile his differences with the Maori Party, saying today "dickheads" within it were trying to get rid of him.
"It looks like these dickheads only have expulsion on their mind, if that's their plan then we may need to refocus," he said on his Facebook page.
So as things start to come to a head with the Maori Party under immense pressure from National to dump Hone so they can rely on the Maori Party as a coalition partner because Rodney's chances of bringing in any extra list seats look zero, the leadership are now on the verge of expelling their most dynamic member all because he had the temerity of speaking the truth about their relationship with an anti-beneficary, anti-worker, anti-environment National Party.
Adding to the problems for National are NZ Firsts Big 3 right wing policies which will chew into National's rump and which led to John Key's extraordinary announcement of the election date 10 months out with the statement that he would not go into coalition with NZ First in an attempt to shut down any momentum Winston might create with such right wing policy.
NZ First's lurch to the right means National can not allow Hone to be in the Maori Party because if he was it would make Winston's raid into their voter pool even deeper. NZ First's lurch to the right also means the Greens, the Maori Party AND Labour would have a bloody hard time getting along with him as well.
Which now gives extra impetus to a New Left Party who can bring extra numbers into the MMP math, especially in the week Unemployment rose to 6.8%
So what are the trigger points for a New Left Party?
The first is the Maori Party expelling Hone. Only once Hone has been expelled from the Maori Party would the possibility for a New Left Party open, and only if Hone believed the best way to fight an anti-worker, anti-benneficary, anti-environmental Party was in a new Party as opposed to remaining an independent.
As an Independent he would be one vote. As a new Party and with his electorate seat, he could create 3-4 votes.
The second trigger point will be the release this month of the ideologically stacked Welfare Razor Gangs deep cuts to benefits. Once the severity of the coming austerity plans against beneficiaries are made public, the welfare and minimum wage electorate will dictate the need for a New Left Party with their concerns primary in any future Government.
John Key may have taken the opportunity to reject some of the ideologically stacked Welfare Razor Gangs more punitive garbage, but with NZ First's Big 3 Policy announcement looming, he will be under pressure to respond with some raw meat policy of his own to counter and blunt NZ First's appeal, so while he may have reigned in the ideologically stacked Welfare Razor Gang, he has to feed the rednecks because Winston will have them drooling.
The third trigger point would be a public meeting where Sue, Matt and Hone spoke and a motion put to the floor that a New Party should form.
Fascinating times ahead with a perfect storm brewing. Imagine the following scenario, National go for John Key's all in poker strategy to gain 50% of the vote with a reliance on the Maori Party as the coalition partner if they don't gain 50% meaning no quarter is given Rodney or Peter Dunne, wiping both Parties out, while a right wing pandering NZ First who have been ruled out by National as a coalition Partner suck up National Party protest vote but crucially just fall shy of the 5% threshold leaving Labour, the Greens and a New Left Party to coax the Maori Party away from their Stockholm Syndrome.
2011 will be one hell of an election.