How a new left wing party wins in 2011
Speculation swirls on new Left and Right parties
Talk is swirling on the left and the right of the political spectrum about new political parties, just a year out from the next election.
Former National leader Don Brash is understood to be coming under pressure within Right-wing circles in Auckland to consider a return to politics, while former Green MP Sue Bradford admits she would consider a comeback under the banner of a new Left-wing party.
iPredict, an online futures market for politics, launched stocks yesterday picking the formation of a new Left-wing or Right-wing party before the election and raised the stakes by linking Ms Bradford and Dr Brash to their creation.
The possibility of a double dip recession akin to the 1929 crises of Capitalism is a topic well canvassed here, domestic and international economic structures are weakened and any shock can trigger domino entropy. If retail suffers a dour Christmas will retail be the next industry ripe for major collapse in the new year?
With economic downturn comes political friction, the Horizon Poll suggests with our MMP 5% threshold that there is room in this political environment of anxious uncertainty for the political splintering to occur.
Rodney Hide WILL NOT win Epsom meaning ACT are dog tucker, their jaw dropping hypocrisy means they are electoral poison, the good people of Epsom are not stupid and won't elect a Party with such bullshit ethics. The problem for the right wing is that the red neck 'celts settled NZ' brigade are far too crazy for the mainstream, so National will want as much distance between them and sanity as possible so they don't want a new right wing party, luckily for the left wing, the tiny echo chambers the right slither in convince them they have the numbers, which means they can be goaded into igniting into a 'tea party' protest movement on the right combining 'celts-settled-NZ-rednecks', 'global-warming-is-a-hoax-deniers' and 'eat-the-poor-free-marketers'.
If the new left Wing Party starts, it will goad the right into a similar movement, which is great news as the new right wing party WILL NEVER get over 5% - NEVER, but in their little echo chambers they will think they have wide support, I say we feed that hubris.
The story for the new Left wing Party is VERY different.
NEW LEFT WING PARTY LIST
1: Sue Bradford (co-leader)
2: Hone Harawira (co-leader)
3: Matt McCarten
4: Jane Kelsey
Why is it so different? Hone's electorate seat means that even if the new left Party only gets the 3.6% Matt got in Mana, they will still get representation!
A new left wing party focused on the rights of beneficiaries and minimum wage aspirations is a political voice screaming for representation, as this Government offer nothing more than a vulgar economic Darwinism, the poor will look for a political party focused on their needs. Why should the most vulnerable pay for the greed of American corporates using Wall St like a casino? Why should the weak cut back while John Key hands himself a tax cut? Why should we all pay more in GST to restructure the tax rate so the rich get more?
There are 338 000 beneficiaries and 2 376 480 voters in the 2008 election, that means beneficiaries represent about 14% of the vote - the numbers are there for a new left wing party.
A new left wing party could form a grand coalition with the Greens, the Maori Party and Labour, the deal being that each of the smaller parties get their Minister in, so the Maori Party would get Maori Affairs, the Greens the Environment and the new left wing Party Welfare. The problem for smaller parties is that they get swallowed up so mere policy nods to hold up to the electorate isn't enough. Forget that, the smaller parties should dominate the Ministry's they take so progress is much more substantial.
Labour need allies to form a Government and shouldn't see a new left wing Party as a threat.
The promise of democracy is that you can look into the face of your child and know they will get a better deal from society than you did, under National that promise is stillborn. A new left wing coalition should make the fulfillment of that promise it's top agenda.
Great news story regarding both sides of the welfare debate, I think you'll see Sue Bradford's Alternative Welfare program is well argued.