Rush of early votes in Mana
A rush of early votes could point to a surprisingly high turnout in the Mana by-election as the candidates make their last pitches to voters.
The campaign in the electorate is do or die for Labour, which has had the maestro behind Auckland Mayor Len Brown's super-city campaign, Andrew Beyer, organising a massive volunteer effort to get voters to the polls tomorrow.
While the two main parties are picking turnout at 50 per cent or lower, votes cast so far suggest the attention on the race between Labour's Kris Faafoi and National's Hekia Parata has already created strong interest.
Early votes cast totalled 1721 by close of business on Wednesday – well up on the 1341 recorded in Mana at the same time during the last general election.
Mana won't go to National, let's be pretty clear about that. People are hurting from this recession and no matter how charming the candidate, that is up hill death in a by-election. The question is how much will the winner win by and will it be Chris or Matt?
If the combined total of Matt and Chris's vote is significant, Matt would have shown Labour that a more clear ideological position to the left can have electoral success.
If Matt wins it will suggest that there is a deeper anger occurring in the electorate.
IF Hekia wins it will launch a blood letting on the left that won't be pretty.
Even if Hekia cuts into Labour's majority, the combined total of Matt, Chris and Jan Logies vote will quieten down David Farrar from exclaiming too much of a win for the right.
Results will be tomorrow afternoon.