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Friday, September 26, 2008

National and the Maori Party to be the next Government?


Sharples: Clark nears 'end of her time'
The Maori Party has indicated it is positioning itself for a possible support deal with National after the November 8 election. Party co-leader Pita Sharples said he was no longer sure if he trusted Prime Minister Helen Clark, and said she was nearing the end of her time. "She has been a great leader; she has done great things for the country," Dr Sharples said in an interview recorded yesterday for TVNZ 7. "But maybe she is nearing the end of her time." Recent events in Parliament showed Miss Clark was clinging to power, he said. "She is appearing quite desperate ... she is behaving like someone who is really, really desperate to get back into Parliament at any cost." Dr Sharples' outburst was his second attack on Labour in as many days. On Wednesday, he inflamed the row over Parliament's censure of NZ First leader Winston Peters by accusing Maori Affairs Minister Parekura Horomia of trying to bully the Maori Party into supporting Mr Peters.

As we have been predicting on Tumeke for some time, the Maori Party is positioning itself to go with National, and John Key wanting to be the moderator that he has sold himself as wants to make the sweeping move to broaden the National Party well beyond it’s white business and farmer base, the issue could come with the more redneck segment of National becoming incandescent with rage at the mere suggestion, but as the National Party leadership have cleverly calculated, where else will rednecks go to vote? No where, and is ACT ever going to side with Labour – no way, so Key can cut a deal with the Maori Party leaving his own redneck supporters to fry crimson and cut no deal with ACT at all and treat ACT the way Labour have treated the Greens (based on some of the comments about Maori by some of the National Party bloggers on this site, they will be close to combustion at the fury of all of this) The real crunch will be how Maori Party supporters will react, the cost to sit at that table will be great, my predictions – a massive increase in budget for the Maori Affairs department that will allow more grass roots spending on health, education and housing for Maori, Pita Sharples will be the Minister of Maori Affairs (Turiana associate minister of Education?), the Nats will declare that Maoridom need to debate the issue of the Maori seats themselves and give the Maori Party a budget to go out and defend the seats which will in fact be a defacto recruitment program for the Maori Party and the Nats will repeal the Forsehore and Seabed issue on the grounds of property rights, the irony being that it was bloody Brownlee who started the whole ‘Maaaaaaaaaaaaari want the beaches’ bullshit that was the catalyst for Helen’s decision to confiscate via legislation.

The real kicker will be that on the night I believe Labour, the Greens, Progressives and Maori will have enough to form a Government where as National will poll the most on the night and the Maori Party will choose to go with National.

Predictions if National and the Maori Party go into Government:
This will leave the Greens who will have a big increase on their vote to focus on domestic issues like privatization of council assets, the work there will hopefully convince the Greens to seriously start going after the city central electorates.

Phil Goff will be the new leader of Labour and will benefit greatly from the many tensions that will spring up between National and Maori Party supporters and will be on the hunt for any sniff of privitisation to fight the 2011 election.

ACT will be furious that they have been ignored and Rodger Douglas will become instrumental in attempting to destabilize John Key for a possible coup to implement hard right economic policy.

8 Comments:

At 26/9/08 12:47 pm, Blogger Jon said...

Much as I hate to admit it - I think you might be right. As a Maori party voter (but not for electorate), I'm in 2 minds about this, but it may be a way to get rid of Helen and still keep some (slight) control over Key & co until the next election, when, hopefully, Labour and the Greens will have sorted themselves out!

 
At 26/9/08 1:33 pm, Blogger Dave said...

I think youre right about the Maori party siding with Natinal, wrong about policy concessions regarding the Foreshore and seabed and Maori seats. I dont think Nats will repeal the Forsehore and Seabed issue on the grounds of property rights in its first term.

 
At 26/9/08 2:30 pm, Blogger Bomber said...

I think youre right about the Maori party siding with Natinal, wrong about policy concessions regarding the Foreshore and seabed and Maori seats. I dont think Nats will repeal the Forsehore and Seabed issue on the grounds of property rights in its first term

No policy concession, no Maori Party Support, no Maori Party Support - no Government. I think you will find Mr Key very happy to cut a deal to get elected.

 
At 26/9/08 4:25 pm, Blogger Jeff said...

Hmmm I wonder if National will need their support...I suspect Labours vote will fall more than it currently has closer to the election. Voters like myself who have held out to now have hit the point of just total frustration with certain of her antics as of late, i.e. EFB, digging heals in over Winston (I mean WTF) and rushing through other incomplete legislation. Not to mention the dracanion copy right ammendments that they are currently about to put through and police powers with out proper review.

Further their dirty politics should be irrelevant. Labour should focus on key issues, but as they realise they can't win that they have done a Republican party trick.

 
At 26/9/08 7:20 pm, Anonymous Anonymous said...

coalition with dumb maori MPs who wouln't even have a job if it weren't for our PC culture? Lets just pray National can govern alone.

 
At 26/9/08 11:36 pm, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Get Real.
This is just pure fantasy. National will not repeal the foreshore and seabed legislation. And for the same reasons that Labour won't ie. they are so committed to the market and international free trade deals that demand removing all restrictions on selling coastal and seabed resources,as a restriction of trade. For National to do so would be to undermine their whole more market ethos.
Not only that, but the Maori party membership which is almost solidly working class, will not be able to stomach it.

 
At 27/9/08 5:06 pm, Anonymous Anonymous said...

"Maori party membership which is almost solidly working class"

Lower class dole bludgers more like it

 
At 29/9/08 11:03 am, Anonymous Anonymous said...

looks like the rednecks have formed an orderly que.. isnt that NICE.

 

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