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Thursday, August 31, 2006

Burning Fields


Well it seems Helen read my letter to her, but not even I suspected the heights of machevilian genius this woman can muster. You can see the years of bitter and vicious in-fighting throughout the Blokey Labour Party of the 1980s and how a queer looking short haired hard looking Clarke must have punched back with twice the force, she is a woman of immense political skills and this latest twist is an astonishing reminder of that. Field is to be the focus of a Police investigation, which means he is out of the Parliament frying pan and fired. Helen keeps his vote, can tell people to wait for the Police investigation, and if timed correctly could even hold off a by-election till the next national election. Was the low polling a catalyst? Perhaps, but a further bump in the road will be the TV3 Poll due out on Saturday, and apparently it has a ‘big surprise’ in it. To hazard a guess I might suggest the rise of a 3rd party? I was interested to see in the today’s poll that the Greens jumped from 5.2 %to 5.8% - might Labour be losing it’s left wing to the Greens? Does the bad look with introducing Tasers, campaign money fraud and Field effect the left of Labour as much as it does to the Labour/National fence sitters?

1 Comments:

At 1/9/06 9:19 am, Anonymous sdm said...

"I was interested to see in the today’s poll that the Greens jumped from 5.2 %to 5.8% - might Labour be losing it’s left wing to the Greens? Does the bad look with introducing Tasers, campaign money fraud and Field effect the left of Labour as much as it does to the Labour/National fence sitters"

Its interesting to see that Rod Donalds death hasnt really effected their numbers. Its going to be interesting to see if this continues.

I think Labour feels that it is forced to move to the centre - it does feel (rightly or wrongly) that it will have the left in its pocket come coalition time, and is prepared to attempt to capture "middle NZ".

As I said yesterday we are split relatively evenly CL v CR, and so I expect both major parties to be trying to capture votes. Blue collar workers could be the "soccer moms" of the next election.

Tasers are an attempt, I think, to convince "middle NZ" that they are not soft on criminals. Its perception that matters, in politics

 

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