ELECTION BOOK UPDATE: Labour $1.70/Centrebet: $1.65

-------------LATEST NEWS---------------
Sunday Star-Times poll (31/07):
LAB 41%, NAT 40%, NZF 7%, GRN 5%, ACT 1%, MAO 1%, UNF 1%, DST 1%
Why conduct a poll and only have it take up a single short column with no graphics or image on page 5? Don't they like the Labour Party or something? Don't think politics is of any interest to their readers? It must of cost them a small fortune - why not use it? Very odd... even for a shit paper. Female editor, you know. Very odd priorities: tragedies and celebrity gossip, trashy, tawdry little tales of B-listers from the tenancy tribunal. Pathetic really. Very bad value for money. [Glad I was fired so many years ago... sure I'm over it... sure. Really, I am. No trace of irking regret. None at all. No harbouring of bitterness here. Chosing pretentious old fuck-knuckles over me - I'm fine with that. Their prerogative. They want grey middle class, inattentive TV reviews that are just a series of plot synopses - that's their right. Jobs for the fucking boys. Boring, shitey, witless, space-filling, ultra-safe, hack, wallpaper. Absolutely not in the slightest bit peeved at that at all. Really I'm not. Really.]
------------- NEWS---------------
Centrebet's latest odds (2pm) 29/07:
Clark $1.65, Brash $2.10, Peters $201.00, Hide $501.00
Today's NZ Herald Poll(29/07):
LAB 43.9%, NAT 37.5%, NZF 7.1%, MAO 3.4%, GRN 3.2%, UNF 1.9%, ACT 1.0%, DST 0.6%, ALL 0.5%, PRG 0.3%
Today's NBR Poll (29/07):
LAB 41%, NAT 35%, NZF 8%, GRN 7%, UNF 3.5%, ACT 1.7%, MAO 1.6%
Last night's TV3 Poll (28/07):
NAT 39%, LAB 39%, NZF 7%, GRN 6%, MAO 2.2%, ACT 1.6%, UNF 1.4%
Centrebet next PM (as at 1am):
Clark $1.80, Brash $1.90, Peters $201.00, Hide $251.00
-------------COMMENTARY---------------
Labour regains the agenda. National caught short, fails to fire back. Polls see minor parties flagging as news captured by fight between the big boys. Aussie bookies' early National favouritism falls back to Labour after only three days.
-------------CURRENT ODDS--------------
-----2005 New Zealand General Election-----

Punters are invited to make their selections in the comments section. I will fix the odds shortly and display your name on the board next to your selection.

Option 2: Nat-Lab head-to-head largest party vote.
was $1.75, now $1.70 Labour
was $2.00, now $2.05 National

Odds...Partyvote %...2002 election/poll&date...Punters
Option 3: Labour party vote.
$00.00 50%+
$00.00 45-49.99%
$00.00 40-44.99% 2002 NZH29/7 NBR29/7 SST31/7
$00.00 35-39.99% M&F22/7 TS26/7 TV328/7
$00.00 30-34.99%
$00.00 25-29.99%
$00.00 20-24.99%
$00.00 00-19.99%
Option 4: National party vote.
$00.00 50%+
$00.00 45-49.99%
$00.00 40-44.99% M&F22/7 SST31/7
$00.00 35-39.99% TS26/7TV328/7 NZH29/7 NBR29/7
$00.00 30-34.99%
$00.00 25-29.99%
$00.00 20-24.99% 2002
$00.00 00-19.99%
Option 5: NZ First party vote.
$00.00 15%+
$00.00 14-14.99%
$00.00 13-13.99%
$00.00 12-12.99% TS26/7
$00.00 11-11.99%
$00.00 10-10.99% 2002
$00.00 09-09.99% M&F22/7
$00.00 08-08.99% NBR29/7
$00.00 07-07.99% TV328/7 NZH29/7 SST31/7
$00.00 06-06.99%
$00.00 05-05.99%
$00.00 00-04.99%
Option 6: Greens party vote.
$00.00 10%+
$00.00 09-09.99%
$00.00 08-08.99%
$00.00 07-07.99% 2002 TS26/7 NBR29/7
$00.00 06-06.99% M&F22/7 TV328/7
$00.00 05-05.99% SST31/7
$00.00 04-04.99%
$00.00 03-03.99% NZH29/7
$00.00 02-02.99%
$00.00 01-01.99%
$00.00 00-00.99%
Option 7: Maori party vote.
$00.00 10%+
$00.00 09-09.99%
$00.00 08-08.99%
$00.00 07-07.99%
$00.00 06-06.99%
$00.00 05-05.99%
$00.00 04-04.99%
$00.00 03-03.99% TS26/07 NZH29/7
$00.00 02-02.99% TV328/7
$00.00 01-01.99% M&F22/7 NBR29/7 SST31/7
$00.00 00-00.99%
Option 8: United Future party vote.
$00.00 10%+
$00.00 09-09.99%
$00.00 08-08.99%
$00.00 07-07.99%
$00.00 06-06.99% 2002
$00.00 05-05.99%
$00.00 04-04.99%
$00.00 03-03.99% NBR29/7
$00.00 02-02.99% TS26/7
$00.00 01-01.99% M&F22/7 TV328/7 NZH29/7 SST31/7
$00.00 00-00.99%
Option 9: Act party vote.
$00.00 10%+
$00.00 09-09.99%
$00.00 08-08.99%
$00.00 07-07.99% 2002
$00.00 06-06.99%
$00.00 05-05.99%
$00.00 04-04.99%
$00.00 03-03.99% TS26/7
$00.00 02-02.99%
$00.00 01-01.99% M&F22/7 TV328/7 NZH29/7 NBR29/7 SST31/7
$00.00 00-00.99%
Option 10: Progressives party vote.
$00.00 05%+
$00.00 04-04.99%
$00.00 03-03.99%
$00.00 02-02.99%
$00.00 01-01.99% 2002
$00.00 00-00.99% M&F22/7 TS26/7 TV328/7 NZH29/7 SST31/7
Option 11: All others party vote.
$00.00 05%+
$00.00 04-04.99% 2002
$00.00 03-03.99% TS26/7
$00.00 02-02.99%
$00.00 01-01.99% NZH-29/7
$00.00 00-00.99% M&F-22/7
--------------------------------------
Polls: M&F=Molesworth&Featherston's averaged poll-of-polls. SST=Sunday Star-Times, NZH=NZ Herald, NBR=National Business Review. TV3! TS=Tim Selwyn's prediction.
Bet closes: 16/09/2005 Results: are for election night % of total vote (excluding informals). TAB disclaimer: this is simulated only.