ELECTION BOOK UPDATE: Labour was $1.65, now $1.60

-------------LATEST NEWS---------------
One News poll (07/08):
LAB 45%, NAT 41%, NZF 5%, GRN 3%, ACT 2%, MAO 1%, UNF 1%
Centrebet's latest odds for next PM(7pm) 07/08:
Clark $1.60, Brash $2.20, Peters $251.00, Hide $661.00
New odds (10/08): Clark $1.53, Brash $2.35, Peters $501.00, Hide $1001.00
Some big punter has dropped $50k on Labour @$1.61 (pity they didn't grow some balls when they were at $1.90! Also perhaps reason why Labour is so short at the moment despite only one poll out recently. Have also shortened my odds.
-------------COMMENTARY---------------
Greens are dropping - terrible, convoluted hoardings. Maori Party and Labour squeezing them, esp. in Auckland. If only Nandor was 10 years younger and not a hippy.
Labour up, but Nats are holding despite the Student Loans policy - was it a king hit? - or did the Yanks-under-the-beds make any impact?
NZ First just not firing. Maybe that's why Winston is so tetchy lately. Plenty of time for a come back however.
I think centrebet has the odds almost correct this time.
-------------CURRENT ODDS--------------
-----2005 New Zealand General Election-----

Punters are invited to make their selections in the comments section. I will fix the odds shortly and display your name on the board next to your selection.

Option 2: Nat-Lab head-to-head largest party vote.
was $1.70, $1.65 (07/08) now $1.60 Labour
was $2.05, $2.10 (07/08) now $2.20 National

Odds...Partyvote %...2002 election/poll&date...Punters
Option 3: Labour party vote.
$00.00 50%+
$00.00 45-49.99% TV107/8
$00.00 40-44.99% 2002 NZH29/7 NBR29/7 SST31/7
$00.00 35-39.99% M&F22/7 TS26/7 TV328/7
$00.00 30-34.99%
$00.00 25-29.99%
$00.00 20-24.99%
$00.00 00-19.99%
Option 4: National party vote.
$00.00 50%+
$00.00 45-49.99%
$00.00 40-44.99% M&F22/7 SST31/7 TV107/8
$00.00 35-39.99% TS26/7TV328/7 NZH29/7 NBR29/7
$00.00 30-34.99%
$00.00 25-29.99%
$00.00 20-24.99% 2002
$00.00 00-19.99%
Option 5: NZ First party vote.
$00.00 10%+ 2002 TS26/7
$00.00 09-09.99% M&F22/7
$00.00 08-08.99% NBR29/7
$00.00 07-07.99% TV328/7 NZH29/7 SST31/7
$00.00 06-06.99%
$00.00 05-05.99% TV107/8
$00.00 00-04.99%
Option 6: Greens party vote.
$00.00 10%+
$00.00 09-09.99%
$00.00 08-08.99%
$00.00 07-07.99% 2002 TS26/7 NBR29/7
$00.00 06-06.99% M&F22/7 TV328/7
$00.00 05-05.99% SST31/7
$00.00 04-04.99%
$00.00 03-03.99% NZH29/7 TV107/8
$00.00 02-02.99%
$00.00 01-01.99%
$00.00 00-00.99%
Option 7: Maori party vote.
$00.00 05%+
$00.00 04-04.99%
$00.00 03-03.99% TS26/07 NZH29/7
$00.00 02-02.99% TV328/7
$00.00 01-01.99% M&F22/7 NBR29/7 SST31/7 TV107/8
$00.00 00-00.99%
Option 8: United Future party vote.
$00.00 10%+
$00.00 09-09.99%
$00.00 08-08.99%
$00.00 07-07.99%
$00.00 06-06.99% 2002
$00.00 05-05.99%
$00.00 04-04.99%
$00.00 03-03.99% NBR29/7
$00.00 02-02.99% TS26/7
$00.00 01-01.99% M&F22/7 TV328/7 NZH29/7 SST31/7 TV107/8
$00.00 00-00.99%
Option 9: Act party vote.
$00.00 10%+
$00.00 09-09.99%
$00.00 08-08.99%
$00.00 07-07.99% 2002
$00.00 06-06.99%
$00.00 05-05.99%
$00.00 04-04.99%
$00.00 03-03.99% TS26/7
$00.00 02-02.99% TV107/8
$00.00 01-01.99% M&F22/7 TV328/7 NZH29/7 NBR29/7 SST31/7
$00.00 00-00.99%
Option 10: Progressives party vote.
$00.00 05%+
$00.00 04-04.99%
$00.00 03-03.99%
$00.00 02-02.99%
$00.00 01-01.99% 2002
$00.00 00-00.99% M&F22/7 TS26/7 TV328/7 NZH29/7 SST31/7 TV107/8
Option 11: All others party vote.
$00.00 05%+
$00.00 04-04.99% 2002
$00.00 03-03.99% TS26/7
$00.00 02-02.99%
$00.00 01-01.99% NZH-29/7
$00.00 00-00.99% M&F-22/7
--------------------------------------
Polls: M&F=Molesworth&Featherston's averaged poll-of-polls. SST=Sunday Star-Times, NZH=NZ Herald, NBR=National Business Review. TV3! TV1= TV One, TS=Tim Selwyn's prediction.
Bet closes: 16/09/2005 Results: are for election night % of total vote (excluding informals). TAB disclaimer: this is simulated only.