2011 Election much closer than the right wing pretend it will be
The right wing have been reliant on the cheap brain fart telephone polls that are missing so much left wing opinion to claim the 2011 will be a walk in the park for National.
This is as optimistic as John Key is on NZ in Afghanistan.
The local body elections proved what Metro Editor Simon Wilson said, that there was a large shift to the left that went under the radar of the mainstream media. Before the exit polls started coming in, these cheap polls were claiming the election was neck and neck, it wasn't, it was a landslide to Len Brown.
The weighting and landline vs cellphone issues mean these cheap phone polls are more and more skewed to conservative opinion and it's in the interests of National's mouthpiece online, David Farrar (who is a pollster) to constantly hold them up as the gospel truth.
National will need Act at election, website predicts
A website is predicting that National will likely need the embattled Act party to govern after next year's election.
Figures released by iPredict have National winning 58 seats - three short of the 61 needed for an outright majority in the 121 seat parliament.
United Future is only predicted to win one seat, with leader Peter Dunne expected to win a tight battle to retain his seat in Ohariu.
That could leave National needing the support of Rodney Hide and another of his Act MPs to retain power.
The right wing party is tipped to win two seats in the next election, despite being embroiled in a series of scandals in the last months.
iPredict CEO Matt Burgess said the 2011 election was looking a lot closer than many anticipated.
"If you take Act out of the picture, which is certainly a possibility, then National is looking vulnerable.
"John Key is really light on the right side of the political spectrum. If Act disappears, he is looking a bit bereft and possibly will be struggling to form a Government."
...as I've pointed out a thousand times, the 2011 election is on and it is no way the cake walk so many on the right (especially anonymous bloggers) seem to be pretending.